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Jari Kaivo-oja

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Research Director Jari Kaivo-oja is expert working in the fields of foresight, planning sciences and innovation research. His special fields are foresight methodologies in sustainability analyses, in international energy economics and general societal development. He has applied innovation, creativity and Think tanking tools and science & technology foresight methods. He has special expertise in energy economics, innovation research, climate change and security politics. He has research experience in strategic and participatory foresight processes in Europa and in international contexts (Adviser of President Ahtisaari, CMI, especially in Africa, in Middle East (The Middle East Foresight), in Black Sea Region (The Middle East Foresight and Black Sea Peace Building Foresight) and in Asia (among other things 3 years in the Lao PDR and Mekong River research program).

Kaivo-oja has worked in the European FP6 and FP7 research programs. He is an expert evaluator of EU´s Security Programmes (Security futures research). He has worked as a Finnish national co-ordinator in the COST A22 (Foresight methodologies) and as an expert member of the international think tank of European Sustainability Strategy Theme Network. He has worked for the European Foundations (Dublin) and for the European Parliament (Brussels), as well as for the Nordic Innovation Centre (NIC, Oslo). In Finland he has been researcher of the Academy of Finland, the VTT (Technical Research Centre of Finland), the Finnish Technology and Innovation Fund TEKES and various line ministries. He has done small and larger foresight projects for companies and corporations. He has also experience as scientific project evaluator in the Security Research Programmes of the European Union. He has been over 2 years a foresight expert blog writer of the SITRA (the Finnish Innovation Fund). He has been lecturing for the European Science Foundation, for the Russian Academy of Sciences and for Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS). In 2011 he was visiting scholar at Stanford University (Palo Alto, CA). He has been planning and implementing 7 large EU Research projects. Mr Kaivo-oja is an author or co-author of scientific 230 publications. More: Who is Who in the World 2012/2013.
 

Core Competencies

  • Futures studies
  • Foresight research and methods
  • Innovation research
  • Sustainable development and green growth
  • Energy economics
  • Development studies
  • Regional foresight and studies 
  • Development strategies, programmes and projects
  • Globalisation studies
  • Innovation, science and technology journalism 
  • Forecasting and prediction markets
     

Some of the latest lectures

  • “The Analysis of the Cyclical Impact Changes in the World, China and India”, 2015 International Conference on Alternative Energy in Developing Countries and Emerging Economies, 2015 AEDCEE, May 28-29, 2015, Sheraton Grande Sukhumvit Hotel, Bangkok, Thailand.
  • “The Quartet Helix Challenge in the ASEAN Region with Special Reference to Cambodia”, 2nd Higher Education Forum, EU-Cambodia Higher-Education Policy and Cooperation, Friday 8th May 2015, Phnom Penh
  • “Synergy analysis of economic growth, unemployment, inflation development and real effective exchange rate in the European countries”, "Initiatives Towards Political, Economic and Social Development of Europe" 27th of March, 2015-
  • “CHEC: China and EU in the Context of Global Climate Change: Analysis of Changing Economic Structures and Related Policies”, FICCA Final Seminar, 2.-3.12.2014, High Tech Center, FICCA Programme of Academy of Finland, Helsinki.
  •  “Forecasting and backcasting scenario analyses in the context of the CIA methodology applications: Special references to global energy and climate change policy”, Sustainable Futures in a Changing Climate China´s Climate Policy and Cross-impact Analysis, Tuesday 10.6.2014
  • “Effective methodological linking of foresight methods: Environmental scanning (ES), driving forces analysis (DFA) and cross-impact analysis (CIA)”, Sustainable Futures in a Changing Climate China´s Climate Policy and Cross-impact Analysis 9-12 June 2014, Helsinki, Finland, Monday 9.6.2014
  • “Global Perspectives on Mineral Economy and Substitution”, Preparatory Workshop on Academy of Finland Research Programme Mineral Resources and Substitution Panel Discussion, Academy of Finland., Helsinki. 15 April 2014

Some of the Publications

Articles:

  • Luukkanen, Jyrki, Panula-Ontto, Juha, Vehmas, Jarmo, Liyong, Liu, Kaivo-oja, Jari, Häyhä, Laura & Auffermann, Burkhard (2015) Structural Change in Chinese Economy: Impacts on Energy Use and CO2 Emissions in the Period 2013–2030. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. Vol. 94, May 2015, pp. 303–317.
  • Virtanen, Petri & Kaivo-oja, Jari (2015) Public service systems and emerging systemic governance challenges. International Journal of Public Leadership. Vol. 11 Iss: 2. ISSN: 2056-4929.​
  • Kaivo-oja, Jari, Panula-Ontto, Juha, Luukkanen, Jyrki, Vehmas, Jarmo, Chen, Y., Mikkonen, S. & Aufferman, Burkhard (2014) Are Strutural Change and Modernisation Leading to Convergence in the CO2 Economy? Decomposition Analysis of China, EU and USA. Energy, the International Journal.  Vol. 72, August 2014, pp. 115-125.
  • Kaivo-oja, Jari (2014) Three Theoretical Approaches to Pirate Entrepreneurship: Towards Futures and Problem-oriented Research of Pirate Entrepreneurship. International Journal of Entrepreneurship and Small Business. Special Issue “Pirate Entrepreneurship”. Vol. 22, No. 4, pp. 449-465. ©Inderscience Publishers
  • Olsmats, Carl & Kaivo-oja, Jari (2014) European Packaging Industry Foresight Study - Identifying Global Drivers and Driven Packaging Industry Implications of the Global Megatrends. European Journal of Futures Research. Vol. 2., No. 1, 1-10. Springer.
  • Santonen, Teemu, Kaivo-oja, Jari & Suomala, Jyrki (2014) The Next Steps in Developing the Triple Helix Model: A Brief Introduction to National Open Innovation System (NOIS) Paradigm Forthcoming in the Journal of Systemics, Cybernetics, and Informatics (JSCI), Vol.  12. In print.
  • Kaivo-oja, J., Panula-Ontto, J. , Luukkanen, J. &  Vehmas, J. (2013) Relationships of the Dimensions of Sustainability as Measured by the Sustainable Society Index Framework. International Journal of Sustainable Development and World Ecology. Vol. 21, No. 1, pp. 39-45.
  • Kaivo-oja, Jari (2013) New Service Design Thinking in the Ubiquitous Media. Touchpoint, Vol. 5, No. 3, pp. 34-40.
  • Kaivo-oja, J. (2013) Scenario Analyses of the Futures of Journalism Profession. Journal of Futures Studies. Epistemology, Methods, Applied and Alternative Futures, Vol. 18, No. 2, pp. 60-84. ©Graduate Institute of Futures Studies. Tamkang University, Tamsui Campus.
  • Kaivo-oja, Jari & Stenvall, Jari (2013) Foresight, Governance and Complexity of Systems: On the Way towards Pragmatic Governance Paradigm. European Integration Studies. No. 7, pp. 28-34.
  • Roth, Steffen, Kaivo-oja, Jari & Hirschmann, Thomas (2013) Smart regions: Two Cases of Crowdsourcing for Regional Development. International Journal of Entrepreneurship and Small Business 20(3), pp. 272-285. ©Inderscience Publishers.
  • Luukkanen, Jyrki, Vehmas, Jarmo, Panula-Ontto, Juha, Allievi, Francesca. Kaivo-oja, Jari, Pasanen, Tytti, Auffermann, Burkhard (2012) Synergies or Trade-offs? A New Method to Quantify Synergy between Different Dimensions of Sustainability. Environmental Policy and Governance. Volume 22, Issue 5, pp. 337–349.
  • Kaivo-oja, J. (2012) Weak Signals Analysis, Knowledge Management Theory and Systemic Socio-cultural Transitions. Futures. The Journal of Policy, Planning and Futures Studies. Vol. 44, Issue 3, pp. 206–217.
  • Santonen, Teemu, Kaivo-oja, Jari, Antikainen, Maria (2011) National Open Innovation System (NOIS): Defining a Solid Reward Model for NOIS. International Journal for Innovation and Regional Development (IJIRD). Volume 3, Number 1, January 2011, pp. 12-25. 
  • Kaivo-oja, Jari & Stenvall, Jari (2011) The Cloud University Platform: New Challenges of the Co-operation in the European University System. European Integration Studies, No. 5, pp. 39-44
  • Mendonca, Sandro, Cunha, Miquel Pina E., Ruff, Frank & Kaivo-oja, Jari (2009) Venturing into the Wilderness: Preparing for Wild Cards in the Civil Aircraft and Asset-management Industries. Long Range Planning. International Journal of Strategic Management (LRP), Vol.  42,  pp. 23-41.
  • Vehmas, Jarmo, Luukkanen, Jyrki & Kaivo-oja, Jari (2007) Linking Analyses and Environmental Kuznets Curves for Material Flows in the European Union 1980-2000. Journal of Cleaner Production, Vol. 15, No. 7, pp. 1662-1673.
  • Rikkonen, Pasi, Kaivo-oja, Jari & Aakkula, Jyrki (2006) Delphi Expert Panels in the Scenario-based Strategic Planning of Agriculture. Foresight., The Journal of Futures Studies, Strategic Thinking and Policy, Vol. 8, Issue 1, pp. 66-81.
  • Rikkonen, Pasi, Aakkula, Jyrki & Kaivo-oja, Jari (2006) How Can Future Changes in Finnish Agriculture and Agricultural Policy be Faced : Defining Strategic Agendas on the Basis of a Delphi Study. European Planning Studies. Vol 14, No. 2 (Feb 2006), pp. 147-167. 
  • Mendonça, S., Cunha, M.P., Kaivo-oja, J. & Ruff, F. (2004) Wild Cards, Weak Signals and Organisational Improvisation. Futures. The Journal of Forecasting, Planning and Policy, Vol. 36, Issue 2, pp. 201-218.
Sections in books:
  • Auffermann, Burkhard, Suomela, Pertti, Kaivo-oja, Jari, Vehmas, Jarmo, Jyrki Luukkanen, Jyrki (2014) Final solution for the nuclear waste challenge in Finland? Recent policies on the disposal of nuclear waste. Forthcoming in “Governance of Nuclear Waste Management”. International book edition.  © Springer, 19 p.
  • Kaivo-oja, Jari, Santonen Teemu, Myllylä, Yrjö (2013) The Crowdsourcing Delphi: Combining the Delphi Methodology and Crowdsourcing Techniques. This paper will be presented at The XXIV ISPIM Conference – Innovating in Global Markets: Challenges for Sustainable Growth in Helsinki, Finland on 16-19 June 2013. Session: 2.2 Strategic Foresight, Strategic Agility and Future Orientation (SIG) Special Session. The publication is available to ISPIM members at www.ispim.org.
  • Luukkanen, J., Akgün, O., Pasanen, T., Keskiväli, I., Panula-Ontto, J., Kaivo-oja, J., Tuominen, V., Vehmas, J. and Lakkala, H. (2013) Energy Dependence and Potential for Renewables. Analysis of Future Trends and Potentials for Renewable Energy Development in Cambodia and Laos. In B. Sudhakara Reddy and Sergio Ulgiati (Eds.) Energy Security and Development - The Changing Global Context. Cambridge Scholars Publishing, UK.
  • Hoffrén, Jukka, Kaivo-oja, Jari & Aho, Samuli (2011) Analysing Long-run Trends of Macro-aggregates of a Post-industrialised EU Society: The Case of Finland. European Foresight Platform. Supporting Forward Looking Decision Making. Web: www.foresight-platform.eu. 
  • Kaivo-oja, Jari & Santonen, Teemu (2010) Open Innovation in a Systemic Innovation Context: Analyzing Online Mass Innovation Process from Systemic Perspectives. In Torkkeli, M. (Ed.) Frontiers of Open Innovation. Lappeenranta University of Technology. Department of Industrial Management. Research Report 225. Lappeenranta, pp. 69-90. ISBN 978-952-214-960-2. (Paperback) Web: http://stratnet.jalusta.com/files/download/LUTResearchReport225-TorkkeliEdit.-FrontiersofOpenInnovation.pdf 
  • Kaivo-oja, J., Stenvall, J. & Rannisto, P-H. (2010) Universities in the Regional Open Innovation System and Strategy: Case Study Reflections of National University Reform of Finland. In Torkkeli, M. (Ed.) Frontiers of Open Innovation. Lappeenranta University of Technology. Department of Industrial Management. Research Report 225. Lappeenranta, pp. 91-106. ISBN 978-952-214-960-2 (Paperback) Web: http://stratnet.jalusta.com/files/download/LUTResearchReport225-TorkkeliEdit.-FrontiersofOpenInnovation.pdf 
  • Kaivo-oja, Jari & Kaartemo, Valtteri (2010) EU-27 Long-run Trends in Export and Imports of Commercial Services in the Global Economy: Identification of the Early Warning Signals of the Poor Results of European Business Service. In Karel Müller, Steffen Roth & Milan Zák (eds.) Social Dimension of Innovation. First Edition. ISBM 978-80-86131-90-0. PBtisk, s.r.o. Prbram. Centre for Economic Studies (College of Economics and Management). Prague, pp. 234-241. 
  • Kaivo-oja, Jari (2010) Systemic Aspects of Security Technology in Hospitals. Combining STEEPV Methodology with SWOT Methodologies in Risk Analysis of Hospitals. In Aaron Richman, Scmuel C. Shapira & Yair Sharan (Eds.) Medical Response to Terror Threat. The NATO Science for Peace and Security Programme. IOS Press. Amsterdam, Berlin, Tokyo, Washington D.C. Published in cooperation with NATO Public Diplomacy Division. Sub-Series E: Human and Societal Dynamics. Vol. 65. ISSN 1874-6276 (print), ISSN 1879-8268 (online), pp. 97- 116. 
  • Kaartemo, Valtteri & Kaivo-oja, Jari (2010) Finland 2050 in the Perspective of Global Change. In Jakubowska, Patrycja, Kukliñski, Antoni & Zuber, Piotr (Eds.) The Future of Regions in the Perspective of Global Change. Case studies. Part Two. Volume 4. Second Edition. Sponsored by Lower Silesian Foundation for Regional Development, Warsaw and Wrocław, Poland, pp. 113-122.
  • Kaivo-oja, Jari (2010) Systemic Innovation Thinking as a Tool for Breakthrough Innovations. Baltic Rim Economies. Bimonthly Review. Issue 3, No. 3, June 2010, p. 33.
  • Kaivo-oja, Jari (2009) Key Trajectories of Science and Technology in Europe and the World. In Chapter IV: Section 1: Trends in Knowledge Based Society. In the book Pipiya, L. (ed.) The Social Sciences and Humanities: Research Trends and Collaborative Perspectives. Institute of the Study of Sciences (IIS). Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS). Moscow.
  • Kaivo-oja, Jari (2009) Integrating Innovation and Foresight Research Activities: Key Models and Challenges Non-Technical and Non-Economic Innovation Actions. In Steffen Roth (Ed.) Non-technological and Non-economic Innovations. Contributions to a Theory of Robust Innovation. Peter Lang AG. Bern, Berlin, Bruxelles, Frankfurt am Main, New York, Oxford, Wien, 2009, p. 195-215.
In Finnish:
  • Haukioja, Teemu, Karppinen, Ari & Kaivo-oja, Jari (2013) Maksuton yliopistokoulutus – riippakivi vai menestystekijä? Tiedosta kauppatavaraa? [Free university education: burden or success factor?]. Teoksessa Johana Harju ja Juuso Leivonen (Toim.) Näkökulmia koulutuksen kaupallistumiseen ja kansainvälistymiseen. [Perspectives on the Commercialization of Education and Internationalization]. SYL-julkaisu 2/2013. Suomen ylioppilaskuntien liitto ry. Helsinki: Trinket Oy, pp. 22-35. 
  • Kaivo-oja, Jari & Karppinen, Ari (2013) Lukukausimaksut ja yliopistojen houkuttelevuus. Mitä tilastot ja kansainväliset tutkimukset kertovat? [Tuition fees and the attractiveness of universities. What statistical and international studies tell to us?]  Tiedepolitiikka. Vol. 38, No. 1, 52-65.

  • Haukioja, Teemu, Karppinen, Ari & Kaivo-oja, Jari (2013) Paljonko on motivaatiosi? Yliopistojen sisäänoton monikriteerinen arviointikehikko. [How motivated you are? Multicriteria evaluation framework to recruit students to universities]  Tiedepolitiikka.Vol. 37, No. 3, pp. 17-30

  • Kaivo-oja, Jari & Karppinen, Ari (2013) Lukukausimaksut ja yliopistojen houkuttelevuus. Mitä tilastot ja kansainväliset tutkimukset kertovat? [Tuition fees and the attractiveness of universities. What statistical and international studies tell to us?] Fortcoming. Tiedepolitiikka. 

  • Haukioja, Teemu, Karppinen, Jari & Kaivo-oja, Jari (2012) Maksuttoman yliopistokoulutuksen hyvinvointivaikutukset: Oikeudenmukaisuus ja dynaaminen tehokkuus. [The welfare effects of the free university education: Fairness and dynamic efficiency]. Tiedepolitiikka. Vol. 36, No. 1, pp. 19-32. 
  • Myllylä Yrjö, Marttinen, Jouni & Kaivo-oja, Jari (2012) Ennakointi demokratian vahvistaja. Esimerkkinä EU:n palkitsema TKTT -konsepti ja muut kansainvälisissä arvioinneissa esille nostetut suomalaiset ennakointikäytännöt. [Anticipative action as strength for democracy: EU-best practice winner, the TKTT-concept as an example and other best practice foresight models of Finland]. Futura, Vol. 31, No. 4/2012, pp. 38-49.
  • Karppinen, Ari, Oikarinen, Elias & Kaivo-oja, Jari (2010) Olkiluoto 3-ydinvoimalaitosyksikön rakennusprojektin alueelliset tuotanto- ja työllisyysvaikutukset. [Regional production and employment impacts of the building project of the Olkiluoto 3 nuclear plant]. Kansantaloudellinen aikakauskirja. Vsk 106, No 2, pp. 7-22.
  • Aho, Samuli & Kaivo-oja, Jari (2010) Suomalaisten pörssiyritysten vakavaraisuuden kehitys vuosina 2004–2008. [Solvency development of the Finnish stock market companies in 2004-2008]. Kansantaloudellinen aikakauskirja. Vsk 106, No 2, pp. 287-298.
  • Aho, Samuli & Kaivo-oja, Jari (2009) Omistusrakenteet suomalaisissa pörssiyrityksissä 2002-2007. [The ownership structures of the Finnish stock market companies in 2002-2007]. Kansantaloudellinen aikakauskirja, Vsk. 105, No 3/2009. pp. 299-314.

Monografies and books:

  • Kaivo-oja, Jari (2014) Development Aid Beyond 2015? Aid Effectiveness Evaluated by World Bank Indicators and Millennium Development Goals (MDGS) – A Trend Benchmarking Study in Kenya, Tanzania and Sub-Saharan Africa. Finland Futures Research Centre. Turku School of Economics. FFRC eBooks 6/2014. ISBN 978-952-249-279-1. University of Turku. Turku. 58. p.
  • Pasanen, Tytti, Tuominen, Visa, Keskiväli, Ilkka, Lakkala, Hanna, Akgün, Orkide, Luukkanen, Jyrki, Kaivo-oja, Jari & Panula-Ontto, Juha (2013) Energy, Environment and Livelihoods in the Lao PDR.  Results from a 2011 Household Survey. Finland Futures Research Centre. Turku School of Economics. FFRC eBook 5/2013. Turku. 164 p. ISBN 978-952-249-261-6, ISSN 1797-1322.
  • Vehmas, Jarmo, Luukkanen, Jyrki,  Kaivo-oja, Jari, Panula-Ontto Juha & Allievi, Francesca (2012) Key Trends of Climate Change in the ASEAN Countries. The IPAT Decomposition Analysis 1980–2005. FFRC eBOOK 5/2012. Finland Futures Research Centre. University of Turku. ISBN 978-952-249-142-8. 26 p.
  • Luukkanen, Jyrki, Kouphokham, Khamso, Panula-Ontto, Juha, Kaivo-oja, Jari, Korkeakoski, Mika, Vehmas, Jarmo, Tuominen, Visa, Sari Jusi,,  Pasanen, Tytti & Lakkala, Hanna (2012) Future Energy Demand in Laos. Scenario Alternatives for Development. Finland Futures Research Centre. University of Turku. FFRC eBOOK 8/2012. ISBN 978-952-249-145-9. 54 p.
  • Kaivo-oja, Jari, Brummer, Ville, Miettinen, Erno & Mirziasvili, Mikheil (2012) Foresight Results and Insights to the Black Sea Peacebuilding Network. Interim Technical Report. Crisis Management Initiative. Black Sea Peacebuilding Network. Civil Society Expert Councils for Peace. Helsinki. 42 p.
  • Gatarneh, Yasar, Brummer, Ville, Savolainen, Taru, Ghneim, Nesrin & Kaivo-oja, Jari  (2012) Foresight for Conflict Prevention in the Middle East. Key Drivers for Conflict Prevention in Egypt, Jordan and Lebanon. Report 30.9.2012. Crisis Management Initiative. Helsinki. 
    http://www.cmi.fi/images/stories/publications/reports/2012/Foresight_report_final.pdf
  • Inkinen, Sam & Kaivo-oja, Jari (2009) Understanding Innovation Dynamics. Aspects of Creative Processes, Foresight Strategies, Innovation Media and Innovation Ecosystems. Finland Futures Research Centre. Turku School of Economics. eBook 9/2009. Turku. 
  • Kaivo-oja, Jari  (2009) European Consumer Preferences in 2030 - Implications for Science and Technology. Quantitative Analysis of EU Consumers 2030. With co-operation of INNOVA Europa. Brussels. [Confidential Report to the European Commission (3 DGs)]. 102 s. 
  • Hoffrén, Jukka, Kaivo-oja, Jari & Aho, Samuli (2011) Erään keskeisen tulevaisuuden yhteiskuntapoliittisen päätöksenteon ja seurantamittarin lähtökohdat. Yhteenveto BKT:n käsitteellisestä ja teoreettisesta kritiikistä. [The GDP indicator: A summary about recent scientific discussions about GDP and new alternative macro indicators]. TUTU-eJulkaisuja 6/2011. Turku, 29 s. Web: http://ffrc.utu.fi/julkaisut/e-julkaisuja/eTutu_2011_6.pdf 
  • Kaivo-oja, Jari (2011) Futures of Innovation Systems and Systemic Innovation Systems: Towards Better Innovation Quality with New Innovation Management Tools. FFRC eBOOK 8/2011. Finland Futures Research Centre. University of Turku. Turku. 29 p. 
  • Kauppinen, V.-M., Kaivo-oja, J. & Aho, S. (2011). Building the Future of European Life-Long Learning Strategies and Policies: Defining Critical Key Drivers of Lifelong Learning in Europe. FFRC-e-BOOK 11/2011. Finland Futures Research Centre. Univeristy of Turku. Turku. 25 p.
  • Popper, Rafael, Miles, Jan, Ravetz, Joe, Teichler, Thomas, Perini, Ivan Montenegro, Cox, Deborah, Butler, Jeff, Kaivo-oja, Jari, Sajeva, Maurizio, Saarinen, Leena, Steinmueller, Karlheinz, von Saldern, Sivert, Ollivere, Gordon, Walker, Anthony, Fatun, Martin, Klusácek, Karel, Valenta, Ondrej, Sharan, Yair, Hauptman, Aharon, Lång, Juha, Decanter, Damien, Klusácek, Jan, Vacatko, Josef, & Dorñak, Miroslav (2011) iKnow National Studies. European Commission. Directorate General for Research and Innovation Directorate B. European Research Area Unit B.5. Social Sciences and Humanities. Brussels. 
  • Popper, Rafael, Miles, Jan, Ravetz, Joe, Teichler, Thomas, Perini, Ivan Montenegro, Cox, Deborah, Butler, Jeff, Kaivo-oja, Jari, Sajeva, Maurizio, Saarinen, Leena, Steinmueller, Karlheinz, von Saldern, Sivert, Ollivere, Gordon, Walker, Anthony, Fatun, Martin, Klusácek, Karel, Valenta, Ondrej, Sharan, Yair, Hauptman, Aharon, Lång, Juha, Decanter, Damien, Klusácek, Jan, Vacatko, Josef, & Dorñak, Miroslav (2011) iKnow Policy Alerts. European Commission. Directorate General for Research and Innovation Directorate B. European Research Area Unit B.5. Social Sciences and Humanities. Brussels. 
  • Popper, Rafael, Miles, Jan, Ravetz, Joe, Teichler, Thomas, Perini, Ivan Montenegro, Cox, Deborah, Butler, Jeff, Kaivo-oja, Jari, Sajeva, Maurizio, Saarinen, Leena, Steinmueller, Karlheinz, von Saldern, Sivert, Ollivere, Gordon, Walker, Anthony, Fatun, Martin, Klusácek, Karel, Valenta, Ondrej, Sharan, Yair, Hauptman, Aharon, Lång, Juha, Decanter, Damien, Klusácek, Jan, Vacatko, Josef, & Dorñak, Miroslav (2011) iKnow ERA Toolkit. European Commission. Directorate General for Research and Innovation Directorate B. European Research Area Unit B.5. Social Sciences and Humanities. Brussels.
  • Valovirta, Ville, Nieminen, Mika, Pelkonen, Antti, Turkama, Petra, Heikura, Tuija, Lindman, Juha, Inkinen, Sam & Kaivo-oja, Jari (2011) Systeemisen muutoksen haasteet ja innovaatiotoiminnan mahdollisuudet. [The challenges of systemic changes and possibilities of new innovation policy]. Tekesin katsaus 286/2011. Tekes. Helsinki. 57 s.
  • Kaivo-oja, Jari (2010) European Consumer Preferences 2030: Sustainability and Knowledge Society Development as Consumption Market Drivers before 2030.  With co-operation of INNOVA Europa. Brussels. 55 p.  [Confidental Report to the European Commission]
  • Kaivo-oja, Jari & Koskinen, Jari (2010) Changing European Consumer Preferences before the Year 2030: Implications for Science and Technology. INNOVA Europe. A Special Report to DG Industry and Enterprise. Brussels. Confidential Summary Report. 25 pages. [Confidential Summary Report to the European Commission]
  • Engblom, Janne, Kantola, Satu-Päivi, Kaivo-oja, Jari (2010) Age Cohorts and Structural Analysis of Consumption: European Consumer Preferences in 2010–2030 – Implications for Science and Technology. Research Report. Innova Europe. DG Industry & Enterprise. Brussels.  [Confidential]. 52 pages.
  • Kaivo-oja, Jari (2009) Finanssialan tulevaisuus. Finanssialan tulevaisuus ja asiakaskohtaamisen haasteet tulevaisuudessa – Raportti Samlinkin organisoimista tulevaisuustyöpajoista ja kyselyistä. Future Focus -koulutus- ja kehittämispalvelut. [The future of financial services. The future of financial services and challenges of better customer experiences. Report about the interactive workshops and survey questionnaire of the Samlink corporation].  Samlink. Tulevaisuuden tutkimuskeskus. Turun kauppakorkeakoulu. Luottamuksellinen.  [Confidential Business Research Report] 32 p. 
  • Kaivo-oja, Jari & Laitinen, Katja (2007) Alueellisen ennakoinnin haasteet ja toimintamallit - Case SataEnnakointi. [The challenges and new models of regional foresight systems – Case SataEnnakointi].  Julkaisusarja A. Julkaisu A17/2007. Turun kauppakorkeakoulu. Porin yksikkö. 76 pages.
  • Isoviita, Eevaleena, Ahokas, Ira, Kaivo-oja, Jari, Laitinen, Katja (2007) Satakunta – Hyvinvointipalvelujen kehittämisen mallimaakunta 2030. Näkemyksiä hyvinvointialan toimintaympäristön haasteista ja tulevaisuuden kehitysnäkymistä. [Satakunta – model for progressive welfare development before 2030. Insights about challenges in the spatial decision environment and future prospects]. Julkaisusarja A, Turun kauppakorkeakoulu, Porin yksikkö. Nro A19/2007. 107 pages.
  • Kauhanen, Erkki, Kaivo-oja, Jari & Hautamäki, Antti (2007) Innovaatiomedia. Journalismi tulevaisuuden tekijänä. [Innovation Media. Journalism as Future Shaper]. Gaudeamus. Helsinki. 
  • Dannemand Andersen, Per, Borup, Mads, Borch, Kristian, Kaivo-oja, Jari, Eerola, Annele Finnbjörnsson, Thorvald, Øverland, Erik Eriksson, E. Anders, Malmér, Thomas & Mölleryd, Bengt A. (2007) Foresight in Nordic Innovation Systems. Nordic Innovations Centre. Oslo. 
  • Santonen, Teemu, Kaivo-oja, Jari & Suomala, Jyrki (2007) Introduction to National Open Innovation System (NOIS) Paradigm. A Preliminary Concept for Interchange. FFRC eBooks 8/2007. Finland Futures Research Centre, Turku School of Economics. Turku.